Blog

  1. A vintage computer screen displaying early forecast charts transforming into a modern holographic trading interface with probability curves and regulatory pillars
    Insights · Jul 28, 2026

    History of Prediction Markets: From the Iowa Electronic Markets to Polymarket and Kalshi

    Trace the history of prediction markets from the 1988 Iowa Electronic Markets through Intrade, Kalshi, and Polymarket. Learn how regulation, accuracy, and volume shaped the market.

  2. A translucent glass brain with glowing neural pathways hovering above a trading floor as light threads split toward a diverging chart
    Insights · Jul 23, 2026

    Prediction Market Psychology: How Cognitive Biases Distort Prices and Trader Decisions

    Explore prediction market psychology: how anchoring, herd behavior, confirmation bias, loss aversion, and overconfidence distort prices and trader decisions.

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